Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 21.797801 25.598764 30.255828 36.518605 44.948058 56.269066 73.338913
2025-01-05 16.674675 20.763474 26.273949 34.604486 47.630050 68.834448 110.576936
2025-01-12 13.646754 17.538367 23.067639 32.022017 47.416335 76.080471 146.099481
2025-01-19 11.713124 15.390358 20.815728 30.061082 47.174232 82.835642 189.795617
2025-01-26 11.730734 16.000665 22.723214 35.279424 62.059222 132.958671 499.395843
2025-02-02 11.182691 15.639283 22.974224 37.605840 72.422270 186.267952 1361.914695
2025-02-09 10.083948 14.251658 21.242058 35.594320 71.507658 202.142134 2423.055644
2025-02-16 9.639368 13.871067 21.205211 37.054264 80.584363 277.269642 23935.998679
2025-02-23 9.065157 13.204155 20.539656 36.969930 85.288760 346.363741 NaN
2025-03-02 8.553288 12.589961 19.884727 36.752888 89.595451 432.784246 NaN
2025-03-09 8.183177 12.185083 19.575032 37.291841 97.090428 593.954518 NaN
2025-03-16 7.656516 11.457449 18.542051 35.797907 96.040032 662.915026 NaN
2025-03-23 7.273526 10.985479 18.026571 35.701743 101.632460 917.757234 NaN
2025-03-30 6.772629 10.263774 16.929023 33.850524 98.596183 1000.643184 NaN
2025-04-06 6.263612 9.494865 15.667026 31.350444 91.478681 937.294682 NaN
2025-04-13 5.848468 8.875560 14.670199 29.449942 86.602801 925.142083 NaN
2025-04-20 6.023743 9.357959 16.035043 34.503422 121.402846 5418.042884 NaN
2025-04-27 5.955300 9.372560 16.392200 36.752286 145.467170 94208.532873 NaN
2025-05-04 5.622873 8.854060 15.498387 34.807963 138.478512 117400.787919 NaN
2025-05-11 5.521621 8.780256 15.612226 36.219315 159.278563 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 5.339970 8.535522 15.304739 36.137814 168.310324 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 5.164348 8.292299 14.978647 35.928048 176.444553 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 5.038771 8.141893 14.859855 36.448895 193.656687 NaN NaN